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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Operations Kepner-Tregoe |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 30-90 min | 2-8 h |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 1-6 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Problem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan |
Tags1 shared | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | DecisionTreeOptions | Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations |
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