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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowHigh
Timedifferent
20–45 min20-45 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group1-103-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logBehavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key EventsCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Iceberg Model method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Iceberg Model
Paper illustration of System Archetypes with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
System Archetypes