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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  UX Research Affinity Diagramming |  Systems Thinking Current Reality Tree |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When research notes, feedback, or observations sit unconnected side by side, affinity diagramming sorts the raw material into solid themes. Many individual points turn into patterns that make decisions and opportunities clearer. | A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 45–90 min | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 3-10 | 3-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Theme clusters, Insight statements, Opportunity areas | Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | SynthesisQualitativeRoot cause | Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality |
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