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Criterion
Paper illustration for Planning Poker.
Agile
Planning Poker
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Purposedifferent
When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMedium
Timedifferent
2-5 min je Item5-20 min60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
3-93-202-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Relative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split CandidatesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments
Tagsno overlap
EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam
EstimationEffortRisk
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing