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Criterion
Paper illustration for Planning Poker.
Agile
Planning Poker
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Purposedifferent
When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.
Complexitysame
LowLowLow
Timedifferent
2-5 min je Item45-90 min15-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-92-82-9
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Relative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split CandidatesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats
Tagsno overlap
EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
EstimationEffortAgile
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping