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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Standard Work Analysis.
Operations
Standard Work Analysis
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When the same task is done differently depending on the person, the method exposes the reliable core. It creates comparability without unnecessarily choking off needed latitude.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
15-45 min1-3 h15-60 min
Participantsdifferent
1-82-62-9
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesStandard Work Sheet, Deviation List, Improved Standard, Training NeedsIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
LeanProcessQuality
EstimationEffortAgile
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Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk