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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Agile NoEstimates |  Domain Modeling EventStorming |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When a domain consists of many events, rules, and states, it creates a shared modeling space for the team. It bundles language, flows, and boundaries before domain knowledge fragments into siloed views. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | laufend | 2-8 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-12 | 5-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Event Timeline, Ubiquitous Language, Boundaries, Open Questions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationForecastingFlow | Domain-Driven DesignEventsDiscoveryWorkshop |
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