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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Agile Ideal Days |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 15-60 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-9 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationEffortAgile | ChangeDecisionStrategy |
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