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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Paper illustration for PDCA Cycle.
Operations
PDCA Cycle
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.For an improvement that still has to prove itself in everyday work, the method runs it through small learning loops. It connects planning, checking, and standardization into a repeatable learning mode.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLow
Timedifferent
15-45 min30-120 min1 h bis mehrere Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-82-61-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesObservation Notes, Improvement IdeasPDCA Log, Experiment Plan, Learning Outcome, Standard Change
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
LeanObservationProcessOperations
Continuous improvementLeanExperiments
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Kaizen Event.
Operations
Kaizen Event
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation