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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Facilitation Mind Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When a topic is still unclear and too many thoughts surface at once, Mind Mapping creates an open surface for ordering them. It makes connections, subtopics, and starting points visible without fixing them too early. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 5-20 min | 15-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-20 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Mind Map, Topic Clusters, Open Questions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationEffortRisk | BrainstormingIdeasMappingStructureFacilitation |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
