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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLow
Timedifferent
15-45 min90-180 min5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
1-83-83-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesCoD Table, Prioritization SequenceEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision
EstimationEffortRisk
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calibrated five-by-five risk matrix with response cards.
Decision Making
Risk Matrix
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of ICE Scoring with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
ICE Scoring