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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
15-45 min45-90 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-82-51-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause AnalysisExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation