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Criterion
Paper illustration of a branching tree with an outcome at its root, customer opportunities, solution options and small experiment cards.
Product Discovery
Opportunity Solution Tree
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Purposedifferent
When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.
Complexitysame
MediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-2 h Setup, laufend60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
2-62-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Opportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning LogConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments
Tagsno overlap
DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas