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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Opportunity Solution Tree |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-2 h Setup, laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 1-4 h or multiple rounds |
Participantsdifferent | 2-6 | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Opportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning Log | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes |
Tagsno overlap | DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationExpertsForecasting |
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