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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
laufend45-120 min10-30 min je Item
Participantsdifferent
2-122-81-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesWaste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
WasteLeanProcess improvement
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
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Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi