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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
laufend45-120 min30-90 min Setup, danach laufend
Participantsdifferent
2-122-81-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesWaste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
WasteLeanProcess improvement
ForecastingFlowDelivery
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Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi