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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
laufend1-3 h1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-124-106-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesCurrent-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck listExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB