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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Facilitation Alignment Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When several people work toward one goal but hold different mental maps, Alignment Mapping makes the discrepancies visible. It arranges goals, assumptions, and priorities so shared direction becomes verifiable. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 10-30 min je Item | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 1-8 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Alignment Map, Open Issues, Decision Questions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | AlignmentStakeholdersStrategyFacilitation |
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