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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | laufend | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 3-12 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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