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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Operations Runbook |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | For recurring operational tasks or incidents, the method keeps solid action logic ready. It reduces uncertainty when time pressure, role changes, or rare situations demand fast access. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 20-60 min | 15-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 1-4 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Runbook, Checklist, Escalation Path | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | OperationsReliabilityDocumentation | EstimationUncertaintyRisk |
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