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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Decision Making Decision Tree |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 20–45 min | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | Small cross-functional group | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | DecisionTreeOptions |
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