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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Decision Making Decision Rights Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | In organizations with many stakeholders, it often blurs who actually decides and who is merely consulted. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Decision Rights matrix and an agreement. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 90-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 1-8 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Decision Rights Matrix, Agreement |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | ForecastingFlowDelivery | DecisionGovernanceAlignmentResponsibility |
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