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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLow
Timedifferent
laufend1-4 Wochen15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
2-126-30 Experten2-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for 8D Problem Solving.
Operations
8D Problem Solving