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Criterion
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas
Purposedifferent
Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min Setup, danach laufend1-2 h60-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-82-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportPrioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingFlowDelivery
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas