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Criterion
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Purposedifferent
Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min Setup, danach laufend1-2 h1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
1-82-81-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportArgument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingFlowDelivery
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
SensemakingDecisionRationale
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop