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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning |
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