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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Domain Modeling Context Map |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When several contexts need to talk to each other, it makes their relationships and dependencies legible. It helps sort integration pressure and responsibilities across system boundaries. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Context Map, Integration Patterns, Boundary Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Domain-Driven DesignBoundariesStrategy |
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