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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 10-20 min daily | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | LeanFlowWasteDelivery |
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