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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Operations Gemba Walk |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 10-20 min daily | 30-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Observation Notes, Improvement Ideas |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | LeanObservationProcessOperations |
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