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| Criterion |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-6 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |
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