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Criterion
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
HighMedium
Timedifferent
2-8 h45-60 min
Participantssame
2-82-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Problem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk PlanAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test