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Criterion
Paper illustration of a JTBD interview notebook with a decision timeline, forces of change and a concise job hypothesis.
Product Discovery
Jobs to Be Done
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Purposedifferent
When switching motives and progress are unclear, it reconstructs the situation from real customer circumstances. It shows why a switch happens and what kind of progress is being sought.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-3 Wochen15-45 min30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
5-12 Interviews1-83-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Job Stories, Outcome Statements, Opportunity ListPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items
Tagsno overlap
CustomerOutcomesNeeds
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of Opportunity Scoring with its method-specific working model.
Product Discovery
Opportunity Scoring