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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Intervention Mapping |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-5 Tage | 10-30 min je Item | 15-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 1-8 | 1-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Logic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation Plan | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ChangeSystems thinkingCapability | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationUncertaintyRisk |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
