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Criterion
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration of RAID Log with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Delivery
RAID Log
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitysame
LowLowLow
Timedifferent
15-60 min30 min Setup, dann laufend45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-91-3 maintaining, briefing for everyone2-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsRAID Log, Status Report SourceAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortAgile
RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping