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| Criterion | ![]() Agile Ideal Days | ![]() Decision Making Pre-Mortem | ![]() Product Discovery Smoke Test |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. |
Complexitysame | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-60 min | 20–45 min | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 2-9 | Small cross-functional group | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortAgile | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.






