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| Criterion |  Agile Ideal Days |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-60 min | 20–45 min | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration |
Participantsdifferent | 2-9 | Small cross-functional group | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortAgile | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
