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Criterion
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
15-60 min60-120 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-93-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsFlywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment BacklogAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortAgile
GrowthRetentionConversion
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test