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Criterion
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLow
Timedifferent
15-60 min60-120 min5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
2-92-83-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortAgile
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
EstimationEffortRisk
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation