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Criterion
Iceberg Model method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Iceberg Model
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
The Iceberg Model separates visible events from patterns, structures, and mental models. This turns a single observation into a deeper understanding of why a problem keeps recurring.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitysame
LowLow
Timedifferent
30-60 min20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-10Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Iceberg Worksheet, Pattern Notes, Intervention IdeasRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingRoot causePatterns
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree