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Criterion
How Might We
Innovation
How Might We
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Purposedifferent
With a stuck problem carrying many implicit assumptions, the method translates observations into open, workable questions. It sharpens the problem frame without pre-thinking the solution, turning frustration or fuzziness into a search space with clear direction.The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.
Complexitydifferent
LowMedium
Timedifferent
30–45 min60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
1-103-10
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
HMW Questions, Challenge Framing, Idea PromptsFutures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals
Tagsno overlap
FramingOpportunityIdeationQuestions
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for CATWOE Analysis.
Systems Thinking
CATWOE Analysis
Rich Picture workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Rich Picture
Paper illustration for 1-2-4-All.
Facilitation
1-2-4-All
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph