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| Criterion |  Innovation How Might We |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | With a stuck problem carrying many implicit assumptions, the method translates observations into open, workable questions. It sharpens the problem frame without pre-thinking the solution, turning frustration or fuzziness into a search space with clear direction. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 30–45 min | 1-4 Wochen | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 6-30 Experten | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Async |
Outputdifferent | HMW Questions, Challenge Framing, Idea Prompts | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note |
Tagsno overlap | FramingOpportunityIdeationQuestions | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth |
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