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Criterion
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMedium
Timedifferent
30-120 min15-60 min15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-62-91-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Observation Notes, Improvement IdeasIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
LeanObservationProcessOperations
EstimationEffortAgile
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Paper illustration for Kaizen Event.
Operations
Kaizen Event