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Criterion
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLow
Timedifferent
30-120 min1-4 Wochen1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
2-66-30 ExpertenNutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Observation Notes, Improvement IdeasExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
LeanObservationProcessOperations
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix