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Criterion
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Root Cause Tree Analysis
Operations
Root Cause Tree Analysis
Purposedifferent
In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.For a problem with several suspected causes, the method builds a causal structure instead of a mere list. It makes visible how causes connect and where the strongest points of leverage lie.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMedium
Timedifferent
Halber Tag45-90 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
5-202-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Simulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated RunbooksAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanCause Tree, Evidence Notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
ResilienceOperationsIncident
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
Root causeTreeIncidentQuality
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Paper fishbone diagram with a measurable effect at the head and six labeled cause branches.
Operations
Fishbone Diagram
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis