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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-12 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Value Chain Map, Lever List |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
