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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-12 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning |
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