View methods side by side.
Choose up to four methods. Add them using the search and share the comparison by copying its link.
| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Systems Thinking Theory of Change |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | Theory of Change translates a desired impact into a traceable chain of change. It makes assumptions, intermediate goals, and measurement points visible before a program is rolled out at scale. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 2-6 h | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 4-12 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Theory of Change Map, Assumptions, Outcome Measures | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ImpactOutcomesSystems thinkingStrategy | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight |
Often compared together
Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
