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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Operations Root Cause Tree Analysis |  Systems Thinking Soft Systems Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | For a problem with several suspected causes, the method builds a causal structure instead of a mere list. It makes visible how causes connect and where the strongest points of leverage lie. | Soft Systems Methodology helps explore unclear or politically charged problems systematically. Instead of forcing a quick answer, the method builds a shared understanding of perspectives and room for action. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-3 h | 0.5-3 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-8 | 5-15 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Cause Tree, Evidence Notes, Countermeasures | Rich Picture, Root Definitions, Conceptual Models, Change Agenda |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | Root causeTreeIncidentQuality | Soft systemsComplexitySensemakingSystems thinking |
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