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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Systems Thinking Polarity Mapping |  Decision Making Trade-off Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | Polarity Mapping makes tensions between two opposing poles tangible, such as standardization and adaptation or control and autonomy. The method guards against making apparent either-or decisions prematurely. | With limited resources, quality, speed, cost, and risk almost always compete with each other. Trade-off Analysis makes these tensions explicit and prevents decisions from producing hidden side effects. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-2 h | 45-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Polarity Map, Warning Signs, Balance Actions | Trade-off Matrix, Criteria List, Decision Rationale, Accepted Downsides |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | Systems thinkingTradeoffsLeadership | TradeoffsDecisionCriteriaOptions |
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