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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration of a Polarity Map with two poles and four quadrants
Systems Thinking
Polarity Mapping
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.Polarity Mapping makes tensions between two opposing poles tangible, such as standardization and adaptation or control and autonomy. The method guards against making apparent either-or decisions prematurely.
Complexitysame
MediumMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
3-103-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsPolarity Map, Warning Signs, Balance Actions
Tags1 shared
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
Systems thinkingTradeoffsLeadership
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Accountability Ladder
Operations
Accountability Ladder
Paper illustration: scenarios and architectural decisions are connected to identified risks.
Architecture
ATAM (Architecture Tradeoff Analysis Method)
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Paper illustration for CATWOE Analysis.
Systems Thinking
CATWOE Analysis